If you were to go by the number of campaign signs in Newark, you’d expect Ray Rodriguez to win. However, elections are won by ground campaigns focused on door knocking, and voter calling. Just ask Ishan Shah, a candidate who put up a bazillion signs in his bid for Ohlone School board.
If you were to go by support outside Newark, Ana Apodaca would win it hands down. A large majority of Fremont and neighboring cities are campaigning for Apodaca. With that being said, the main result of the election will be dictated by the people of Newark.
Al Nagy doesn’t have much of a campaign, and Nagy has missed key endorsement meetings. However, Nagy has got the old guard behind him and that may ultimately put him over the edge.
I predict that this election will be a squeaker, and in Newark anyone can win as long as they get their people out to vote. Former Assembly member Alberto Torrico won with as little as 32 votes over the other candidate when he first ran for Newark city council in 2001.
Here is a link to Newark Mayor 2011
Tags: Al Nagy, Ana Apodaca, Mayor, Newark, Ray Rodriguez